The Cheesehead Corner Pub

2008 NFL Week 5

I’m still on the road (in fact, I’ll be above the road by kickoff unless the flight’s delayed), so no witty commentary or replays of last week. Besides, I think I blew chunks. No matter; it’s another week of NFL football, and there’s plays to be made.

Green Bay (+1.5) @ Seattle
Detroit @ Minnesota (-13)
Chicago (-3/under 43.5) @ Atlanta
Oakland @ New Orleans (-7/over 47)
Baltimore (+4) @ Indianapolis
Cincinnati @ NY Jets (-9.5)
Carolina (+1.5) @ Tampa Bay
Miami (+3) @ Houston
St. Louis @ Washington (-14)
Jacksonville (+3.5) @ Denver
Philadelphia (-5) @ San Francisco
Dallas @ Arizona (+5.5)
New England @ San Diego (-5)
NY Giants (-8) @ Cleveland

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October 12, 2008 Posted by | NFL | Leave a comment

2008 NFL Week 5

If at first you don’t succeed in busting .500 (29-29-2), try, try again (especially since I need an over/under sweep to snap the 3-4-1 slump I’m in). As always, the point spreads come from Bodog, and if you use these picks to gamble, you didn’t get them from me.

Atlanta (+3.5) @ Green Bay – The Packers have a serious problem stopping the run, and the Falcons have a serious running back.
Chicago (-3.5) @ Detroit – Meet the new GM, same bad players and coaches as the old GM.
Minnesota @ New Orleans (-3.5) – All the Saints have to do is stop the run, and they’ve managed to do that pretty effectively.
Indianapolis @ Houston (+3.5) – What’s with all these 3 1/2-point lines? There’s no place like home.
Tennessee @ Baltimore (+3) – The name of the game is defense. Take the under-33.5.
San Diego (-7) @ Miami – We knew that LT was a good-throwing running back, but who knew Ronnie Brown could throw? No matter; Miami can’t otherwise run, and San Diego knows how to stop trickery.
Kansas City @ Carolina (-10) – I hope you didn’t pick up Larry Johnson after last week’s performance.
Washington @ Philadelphia (-6.5) – There’s no respect for the Redskins. Of course, the return of Brian Westbrook may have something to do with that.
Seattle (+7.5) @ NY Giants – You may like the points, you may want the points, and if you’re scared, you’ll get the points…BUT YOU’RE NOT GONNA NEED ‘EM! There’s too many wideouts in Seahag Green.
Tampa Bay @ Denver (-3.5) – It’s the battle of ex-Al Davis employees. It’s all about the altitude.
New England (-3) @ San Francisco – Ask the Texans what happened to the last team to face the Pats after they lost to the Dolphins.
Buffalo (+1.5) @ Arizona – There’s nothing like playing the weakest division in the NFL to get one rolling.
Cincinnati @ Dallas (-17.5) – What we got here is a failure to communicate.
Pittsburgh @ Jacksonville (-6) – The Injury Discount has become a fire sale. Take the under-37.

October 5, 2008 Posted by | NFL | Leave a comment

Dog eat dog Week 4

It was a dog day afternoon and evening last weekend.

Green Bay 21 (+1) @ Tampa Bay 30 – I should’ve gone with the Stat of the Week.
Minnesota 17 @ Tennessee 30 (-3) – Quote of the Week – “We still have a chance to go 4-12.” – Titans LB Keith Bulluck
Philadelphia 20 (-3) @ Chicago 24 – Who let the dogs out?
Denver 19 @ Kansas City 33 (+10) – I believe I said something about a lack of defense – 198 yards and 2 TDs for Bust-Of-2007 Larry Johnson.
Cleveland 20 @ Cincinnati 12 (-3.5) – And the BenGALS are that weak.
Houston 27 @ Jacksonville 30 (-7-LOSS) – Was I talking about Houston’s nightmare or my overtime nightmare?
Arizona 35 @ NY Jets 56 (-1) – Even I didn’t see this one – 6 TDs on a bum ankle.
San Francisco 17 @ New Orleans 31 (-4.5) – One more point and I would’ve had the ridiculous over.
Atlanta 9 (+7) @ Carolina 24 – The Falcons are back down to Earth.
Buffalo 31 (-8) @ St. Louis 14 – I hope you took my advice to take the younger Trent.
San Diego 28 (-8) @ Oakland 18 – And Al Davis stiffs another head coach.
Washington 26 @ Dallas 24 (-10.5) – I should’ve applied the Dog Premium.
Baltimore 20 (+6-WIN) @ Pittsburgh 23 – I’ll take the winnings for taking the points and ignore the explosion of offense.

Nothing like going 7-6 ATS to get the season record back to .500 at 29-29-2. I won’t mention the over/unders are sinking like a rock to the tune of 3-4-1.

October 5, 2008 Posted by | NFL | Leave a comment

2008 NFL Week 4

Let’s hope the byes improve the situation of 22-23-2 ATS and 3-3 O/U.

Green Bay (+1) @ Tampa Bay – Stat of the week; Brian Griese is 3-0 against the Pack.
Minnesota @ Tennessee (-3) – Did I mention I love defenses lately?
Philadelphia (-3) @ Chicago – The Bears are DONE!
Denver @ Kansas City (+10) – Given the lack of defense the Broncos have, it’s too many points.
Cleveland @ Cincinnati (-3.5) – The Game of the Weak.
Houston @ Jacksonville (-7) – The nightmare continues.
Arizona @ NY Jets (-1) – Favre is still indestructible.
San Francisco @ New Orleans (-4.5) – Take Dirty Rice over Rice-A-Roni and take the over-48.
Atlanta (+7) @ Carolina – Once again, too many points to give considering the road team has won the last 5.
Buffalo (-8) @ St. Louis – I didn’t know Trent Green was still in the league.
San Diego (-8) @ Oakland – It’s the same old story, same old song and dance.
Washington @ Dallas (-10.5) – The Injury Discount has been applied.
Baltimore (+6) @ Pittsburgh – I’d be surprised if there were more than 6 points scored. Take the under-34.

September 28, 2008 Posted by | NFL | Leave a comment

Mediocrity returns

It was a painful week. Let’s review.

Dallas 27 (-3) @ Green Bay 16 – Everybody else was leaving the game with injuries.
Tampa Bay 27 (+3) @ Chicago 24 – Grease beats alcohol.
Carolina 10 (+3.5) @ Minnesota 20 – Defense still wins games.
Detroit 13 @ San Francisco 31 (-5) – Let’s review the smashing – San Fran beating the Lion Cubs by over 15 – check. Under 47 total points – check. Bad news – Matt Millen is no more.
Kansas City 14 @ Atlanta 38 (-6.5) – 186 yards rushing; yep, the irresistable force ran over the movable object.
Oakland 23 @ Buffalo 24 (-10-LOSS) – OH SO CLOSE!
Houston 12 @ Tennessee 31 (-5.5) – What rude hosts. I sure hope you took advantage
Cincinnati 23 @ NY Giants 26 (-13-LOSS) – At least the over/unders are back to last year’s form.
Arizona 17 (+3) @ Washington 24 – Some days you’re the dog, some days your the milk bone.
Miami 38 @ New England 13 (-13) – While that may not be the real Dolphins, I believe that’s the real Pats sans Brady.
St. Louis 13 (+10) @ Seattle 37 – Real nice for the Seahawks to show up just as I gave up on them </sarcasm>.
New Orleans 32 @ Denver 34 (-6-LOSS) – Inept playcalling from the Saints was, however, required.
Pittsburgh 6 (+3.5) @ Philadelphia 15 – Unfortunately, I took the wrong D.
Jacksonville 23 (+4.5) @ Indianapolis 21 – Tony Dungy is wondering whether the RCA Dome is still open.
Cleveland 10 @ Baltimore 28 (-3) – NewBrowns fans are chanting, “We Want Quinn!”
NY Jets 29 (+8.5) @ San Diego 48 – I should’ve gave the points.

7-9 ATS and 2-0 O/U puts me at a suckitude 22-23-2 ATS and 3-3 O/U. No wonder why I didn’t post much this past week.

September 28, 2008 Posted by | NFL | Leave a comment

Harris likely out for the season

(H/T – PaulNoonan)

The National Football Post broke the news that Al Harris may have suffered a ruptured spleen last night. If that is confirmed in a second opinion, Harris will be done for the year.

JSOnline’s Greg A. Bedard has a couple of more details, including the discovery of blood in Harris’ urine that prevented his return last night and the fact that Harris’ agent, Jack Bechta, is a contributor at The National Football Post (though he was not the author of the piece).

The biggest effect of losing Harris will come against teams that have multiple competent receivers, like the Cowboys have. A cursory look at the schedule suggests that the Colts, Saints, Panthers, Texans, Jaguars and Lions have multiple competent receivers. Not all of them have quarterbacks that can exploit Tramon Williams (cough, Lions, cough), and some of them would likely beat the Packers anyway (the Colts and Jaguars come to mind). Meanwhile, I don’t expect teams like the Bears (twice), Vikings and Buccaneers (mostly because their receiving corps isn’t exactly healthy) to be able to take advantage of this.

While it’s not as big as losing Aaron Rodgers would be, it’s still a significant loss.

September 22, 2008 Posted by | NFL, Packers | Leave a comment

Partly-cloudy sports Sunday recap

We’ll start with the good – the Brewers’ 8-1 win over the Reds. Prince Fielder remained red-hot, and it didn’t really matter that Seth McClung couldn’t even go 4 innings. He was pitching out of the pen last week, and the Crew has the day off to rest the pen before finishing up at home against the woeful Pirates and those damned Cubs. Meanwhile, the Mets, who are 1 1/2 games ahead for the wild-card, get the aforementioned Cubs at home for 4 games (only the 3rd will be available out of market/mlb.tv over on The Network That Won’t Be Named) and 3 against the not-quite-good-enough Marlins.

As for the pitching lineup the rest of the way, the only thing that is certain is that Ben Sheets will not be starting Tuesday; he may go as early as Thursday, though he’s currently penciled in for Friday. Dave Bush is penciled in mainly because he’d be going on a normal rest. Wednesday’s the real big question; Yovanni Gallardo is in that mix along with Jeff Suppan on normal rest and CC Sabathia on 3 days’ rest (again) to potentially set up a season-closer against the Cubs. My advice to Sveum – go Bush, Soup, CC, Sheets, McClung and Yo.

Next up, the what-might-have-been. Matt Kenseth dominated the middle portion of the race in Dover, but couldn’t quite hold off Greg Biffle as we missed a Free Fry Monday. The second-place finish did move him up to 10th in the Chase, but he is still 167 points back with 8 races to go.

Finally, the bad. The Packers had the injury bug hit, and just couldn’t get the job done offensively when it mattered in their 27-16 loss to the Cowboys. They smartly put Charles Woodson on a hushed Terrell Owens, but got run over on both sides of the line, and the backups in the secondary that had to play the second half after Al Harris left the game ultimately let a little-known receiver run wild.

In short, hooray beer, 1 1/2 cheers for fries, and boo moldy cheese.

September 22, 2008 Posted by | Brewers, MLB, NASCAR, NFL, Packers | Leave a comment

2008 NFL Week 3

Now that I reached the first goal of getting over .500 at 15-14-2 (I’ll ignore the 1-3 against the over/unders), it’s time to start actually making money.

Dallas (-3) @ Green Bay – Take this week for the week Aaron Rodgers goes out for the season. Unfortunately, there’s nobody that’s even semi-competent behind him.
Tampa Bay (+3) @ Chicago – The word of the day is “revenge”.
Carolina (+3.5) @ Minnesota – The Injury Discount is in full effect.
Detroit @ San Francisco (-5) – Can anybody tell me why this isn’t 15? Oh yeah; take the under-47; the Lions aren’t scoring.
Kansas City @ Atlanta (-6.5) – The irresistable force will run over the movable object.
Oakland @ Buffalo (-10) – It may not be snowing, but it’s not going to be fun for the Raiders.
Houston @ Tennessee (-5.5) – The Tennesseeans are glad they’re not in Houston anymore. The Texans only wish they weren’t.
Cincinnati @ NY Giants (-13) – Even though the BenGALs won’t score, take the over-42 as Jimmy Hoffa chants “Sieve!”
Arizona (+3) @ Washington – Give the dog a bone and send your man rolling home.
Miami @ New England (-13) – The Pats showed me something last week.
St. Louis (+10) @ Seattle – How bad is the Seahawks’ offense? Koren Fragging Robinson is back in the league.
New Orleans @ Denver (-6) – No blown calls required this week.
Pittsburgh (+3.5) @ Philadelphia – I like defenses.
Jacksonville (+4.5) @ Indianapolis – Before injuries, this would have been the Game of the Week.
Cleveland @ Baltimore (-3) – Neo is no more.
NY Jets (+8.5) @ San Diego – Given the nature of the Chargers’ losses, if I took them, I’d be giving too many points.

September 21, 2008 Posted by | NFL | Leave a comment

What a difference a week makes

The Bar is no more, the Pub’s in flames after I took a day off, but let’s review the great week it was…

Green Bay 48 (-3) @ Detroit 25 – Had this been Turkey Day, this would’ve been a trap.
Indianapolis 18 (-2.5) @ Minnesota 15 – I might have to rethink my Viqueens as champs call; they’re looking more like the usual chumps.
Chicago 17 @ Carolina 20 (-3-TIE) – “Taketh the home team,” and loseth the vig.
Oakland 23 (+3.5) @ Kansas City 8 – Two picks and eight points is proof of the maxim.
Tennessee 24 @ Cincinnati 7 (pick’em) – More like jump off the bridge after this one; the BenGALS are done.
New Orleans 24 @ Washington 29 (+1) – All of a sudden, I can’t pick the over/unders.
NY Giants 41 (-8.5) @ St. Louis 13 – Baaaa, baaaa bwahahahahahaha!
Buffalo 20 (+4.5) @ Jacksonville 16 – You can’t win if you’re not healthy.
Atlanta 9 (+7) @ Tampa Bay 24 – Sometimes you’re the dog, sometimes you’re the milk bone.
San Francisco 33 (+7) @ Seattle 30 – Nice to see the overtime curse is broken.
Miami 10 @ Arizona 31 (-7) – Booked, and collected
New England 19 @ NY Jets 10 (-1) – And no streaks ended.
San Diego 38 @ Denver 39 (-1-TIE) – Why did you go for two, Mike? It screwed me out of my vig.
Pittsburgh 10 (-6-LOSS) @ Cleveland 6 – And the weather dominated.
Philadelphia 37 (+7-WIN) @ Dallas 41 – Lesson to the wise; do not celebrate on the one.

A nice 9-4-2 week pushes the season to 15-14-2. Unfortunately, the over/unders fell to 1-3.

Now, what the fuck happened while I was away mourning the death of the Brewers’ season?

September 21, 2008 Posted by | NFL | Leave a comment

Monday Night Football

I think Rush had it right today. He lamented that tonight’s game was on ESPN…as he said (more or less) Monday Night Football is not about the football game. It’s about the three guys who happen to be at a football game.

So far, Jaws is taking a few very well “disguised” shots at Tony “The Punk Who Never Did Shit In His Life” Kornheiser (aka from now on as “The Punk”). Get The Punk out of the booth and you would have something.

ABC…are you taking note?

September 15, 2008 Posted by | ESPN Asshats, NFL | 11 Comments